Self-publishing

I wonder if any aspiring author should think about self-publishing. Why? Just look at the changes in the publishing market right now: Rowling to work Potter magic online (cutting out Amazon and Apple’s cut). $0.99 Kindle eBooks with reasonable sales. And you can...

Bad times for the Euro and Europe

Terrifying article in Spiegel about the lack of any sensible options for the Eurozone. Time for Plan B: How the Euro Became Europe’s Greatest Threat. I’d be keen on a nuclear option, because at the moment, it appears that the main effect of the pressure on...

Don’t believe experts

I hadn’t come across Tetlock’s research on predictions. He carried out a 20+ year project with people who made a living from predicting the future. He asked them to predict outcomes and the likelihood of outcomes. The “experts” were not...

A Brief History of the Corporation

A Brief History of the Corporation. Astonishing riff on where business will go next. I hadn’t really got how independent the East India Company really was, and quite how much Britain had to do to help cement its brief hold on the world. I sincerely want to...

Avoiding cognitive bias in big decisions

The Big Idea: Before You Make That Big Decision… has a useful set of questions to ask before making any big decision where other people’s thinking is important. Which is pretty well all decisions. I’m a big fan of the premortem: working out what the...

AOL hell

An AOL Content Slave Speaks Out. Ugh. Not a pleasant job or company. Reminds me of a sales team whose chair heights are adjusted based on their success, or not. Unbelievable.